Economic vulnerabilities to the coronavirus: top countries at risk

The outbreak of the novel coronavirus will have significant impacts on the poorest economies, even if they do not have confirmed cases.

A new ODI paper examines the transmission channels and identifies individual countries that are most vulnerable to the economic impacts of the coronavirus outbreak and a slowdown in the Chinese economy.

According to our vulnerability index, the top countries at risk are Sri Lanka, Viet Nam, and the Philippines. Sub-Saharan Africa also could lose up to $4 billion worth of exports as the outbreak dampens Chinese and global demand.